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A ConOps derived UAS safety risk model


The purpose of NASA’s Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) Integration in the National Airspace System project is to support the FAA with research that examines the risks involved with using UAS for commercial operations. The safety risk model described in this paper aims to provide such research and is derived from a NASA Concept of Operations (ConOps). A ConOps is a document that describes a specific commercial operation for an aircraft and presents the operation’s logistics, its associated environment, plausible scenarios, safety and performance considerations of the operation, and a possible plan for the execution of the operation. The specific operation defined in the studied ConOps focuses on a UAS administering a ‘targeted aerial application’ of agricultural chemicals to small, pre-determined areas of crops in large fields. Applying UAS to agriculture in this manner is very realistic since it is a relatively minimal risk operation compared to other potential UAS commercial operations and presents significant value to the agricultural community.

Keywords: Safety risk, Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS), Bayesian belief network


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